@2legged@mastodon.ie avatar 2legged , to random

RE: https://zirk.us/@ChrisMayLA6/115589040644325032

THREAD: @ChrisMayLA6 rightly questions UK 's "mistaken expectation of continued entitlement" wrt the .🇪🇺

From my Irish perspective, that is in most of the UK's 🇬🇧 pro-Europeans as strikingly as the ' mendacity. Domestically, their entitlement imposed & centralisation through 6 major steps without referendum to ensure public buy-in. No public campaign to win their argument, allowing to build unchallenged.

>>

2legged OP ,
@2legged@mastodon.ie avatar

..
The entitlement poisoned by defiance of the referendum result. The appallingly-named campaign was a toxic attempt to make people vote until they gave the desired answer.

Even worse, 's wanted to simply ignore the 2016 referendum. That era of poisoned their own cause for a generation, and turbocharged .

>>

@ChrisMayLA6@zirk.us avatar ChrisMayLA6 , to random

Zac Polanski (being interviewed on the BBC) said (among some other important stuff) that:

'I think it is legitimate to say paying tax is something that's actually patriotic, we should be proud of contributing to this country'!

This shift in political emphasis is vital: tax is not a 'necessary evil', its not something we should seek to avoid.. rather it is how we fund the society we want & value!

Its good to see a political leader make this vital point!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cly2nyz3ed2o

2legged ,
@2legged@mastodon.ie avatar

@ChrisMayLA6 Back in the 1990s, the late Paddy Ashdown as leader of the made the same point very well: that tax is a vital part of a civilised society

@rmblaber1956@mastodon.social avatar rmblaber1956 , to random

https://www.disabilitynewsservice.com/all-the-evidence-from-labour-conference-points-in-one-direction-more-cuts-to-disability-benefits/. Same old, same old from "Labour", @ChrisMayLA6 , @HarriettMB . The hate people, so do , & so do . If Sir Ed Davey's remarks about claimants are taken into account, the have no love for us, either. It's a forced choice, then, if we live in : we HAVE to vote for @thegreenparty at the next General Election. Those who live in & will need to look at what the are offering.

@ChrisMayLA6@zirk.us avatar ChrisMayLA6 , (edited ) to random

Q. is the problem for the LibDems that Ed Davey by adopting positions both to the left & to the right of the Labour Govt. seems to be working on the basis that the old Left/Right distinction should not pattern political strategy (or perhaps as cynics observe its just cynical opportunism), when actually inequality & the shift right suggest actually class politics (and the old Left/Right distinction) is resurgent?

Not sure I have an answer but thought I'd pose the Q.

@ChrisMayLA6@zirk.us avatar ChrisMayLA6 , to random

For those of you interesting in what's going on at the LibDems conference this weekend, the BBC has a summary of the action... including Tim Farron reclaiming the Union Jack for Lancashire!

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cjd11n14zz1o

2legged ,
@2legged@mastodon.ie avatar

@ChrisMayLA6 Now even the are 🤮

@junesim63@mstdn.social avatar junesim63 , to random

Labour has lost the majority of its switch in 2019 voters to the Liberal Party and the Green Party. This paper from The British Election Study shows that its strategy of trying to appeal to Reform voters has plainly not worked. Reform's increased support has mainly come from ex Tory voters and previous non voters.

https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/uncategorized/looking-for-labours-lost-voters/

Lazarou ,
@Lazarou@mastodon.social avatar

@junesim63 "We don't want those voters though, we only want the bigots" - Labour

@ukelections@mastodonapp.uk avatar ukelections , to random

AGGREGATE COUNCIL BY-ELECTION RESULTS

Net results of the 105 council by-elections (for 107 seats) since the 2024 General Election:

🔴 Labour: 37 (-20)
🔵 Conservatives: 34 (+15)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 17 (=)
🟢 Green Party: 6 (+3)
⚫ Independents: 6 (-2)
🟡 SNP: 4 (+3)
🌼 Plaid Cymru: 2 (=)
⚪ Reform UK: 1 (+1)

Full details (including a cool chart) here:

https://electionmaps.uk/council-by-elections/24-29

@Natasha_Jay@tech.lgbt avatar Natasha_Jay , to random

UK - my early post(2024)-election predictions -

  1. Jenrick (or Badenoch) as next Opposition Leader. The Conservatives try to reswallow the Reform vote, with only partial success.
  2. A reduced Labour majority in 2029 due to incumbency and narrow majorities, then a Labour-Libdem coalition in 2033-34
  3. The next Tory PM is not yet an MP

Your thoughts?

@ukelections@mastodonapp.uk avatar ukelections , to random

COUNCIL BY-ELECTIONS

I've missed out on covering a bunch of council by-elections since the general election, but I'm going to start trying to resume coverage soon and also try to go back and cover what I missed.

Here are the overall council by-election results since the GE:

🔴 Labour: 27 (-3)
🔵 Conservatives: 10 (-2)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 6 (-3)
⚫ Independents: 4 (-1)
🟢 Green Party: 2 (+1)
🟡 SNP: 1 (+1)

@simon_brooke@mastodon.scot avatar simon_brooke , to random

OK, the first thing to say about 2024 is this: lost, and lost badly. They lost, in fact, HALF A MILLION VOTES compared to their 2019 result.

All the major parties, including the , lost. Labour just lost less badly than either the or the .


ALT
@voteoutcovid@mastodon.me.uk avatar voteoutcovid , to random

Hi everybody! , and the polling day is the day after tomorrow!

If you're a resident, please use our site https://voteoutcovid.org.uk/ to lobby candidates to commit to our public health pledge to reduce risk and harms from and other conditions!

Political party manifestos don't mention the ongoing pandemic, so we need to lobby directly. Please boost!

@ukelections@mastodonapp.uk avatar ukelections , to random

GB OPINION POLL

Headline Westminster voting intention. Poll by @Omnisis :

🔴 Labour: 47% (+1)
🔵 Conservatives: 22% (-1)
⚪ Reform UK: 12% (+1)
🟠 Liberal Democrats: 8% (=)
🟢 Greens: 6% (-2)
🟡 SNP: 3% (+1)

Labour lead of 25 points.

Conducted 23-24 May 2024. Changes with 16-17 May 2024.

Full details: https://wethink.report/polls/two-fifths-agree-the-general-election-could-be-the-most-dishonest-for-a-generation-new-poll-reveals/

@ukelections@mastodonapp.uk avatar ukelections , to random

EAST MIDLANDS OPINION POLL

East Midlands Mayoral voting intention by :

🔴 Claire Ward (Labour): 41%
🔵 Ben Bradley MP (Conservative): 28%
⚪ Alan Graves (Reform UK): 14%
🟢 Frank Adlington-Stringer (Green): 9%
⚫ Matt Relf (Independent): 4%
🟠 Helen Tamblyn-Saville (Liberal Democrats): 4%

Labour lead by 13 points.

Conducted 19-24 April 2024.