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relianceschool

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Choosing the Right Home Is Tough. Climate Change Is Making It Harder. ( insideclimatenews.org )

Climate change is throwing a snag in one of the most important considerations during the home-buying process—location. With catastrophic wildfires, hurricanes and sea-level rise climbing, experts are urging prospective homebuyers to take regional climate risks into account before settling down somewhere with a 30-year ...

relianceschool OP ,
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Here are some links/resource for homebuying in regards to climate risk:

‘Committee of Vultures’: Tech Billionaires Circle Greenland ( www.thenerdreich.com )

Donald Trump’s obsession with Greenland has escalated into a full-blown international crisis. He is threatening military action against NATO ally Denmark and imposing tariffs on European countries that don’t support his quixotic quest to own the icy island. ...

relianceschool ,
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relianceschool ,
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According to this study, an income of $38,000/year puts you in the top 10% of carbon emitters. This study puts it at €42,980, or about $50K USD. That's a little higher than the median income in N. America, Europe, and Australia.

That said, carbon emissions are just one way humans impact the environment; other facets are far less variable (we all produce about the same amount of human waste per day, for example).

Inside ICE’s Tool to Monitor Phones in Entire Neighborhoods ( www.404media.co )

A social media and phone surveillance system ICE bought access to is designed to monitor a city neighborhood or block for mobile phones, track the movements of those devices and their owners over time, and follow them from their places of work to home or other locations, according to material that describes how the system works ...

relianceschool ,
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I lived without a cell phone for about 3 years (2022-2025), and once in a while there was a small hurdle but overall it was surprisingly easy. 2FA can be done via text/email, I never ran into an instance where I needed an app. Every ticket I bought could be printed at home, so it takes a little more forethought but not a deal breaker. Never ran into any parking stations that couldn't be paid via a kiosk/card, but YMMV.

These days I own a phone per request of one of my business clients, but it stays turned off at home unless I'm on a job. Once in a while I'll break it out to use the GPS but most places I drive to I can find by memory. There are many "middle" ground solutions out there too (like Graphene OS), but as a general rule, I would make a habit of leaving your phone at home when you can, and definitely when engaging in anything spicy.

relianceschool ,
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If "Find my phone" still works when it's turned off, then yes, phones are definitely traceable when powered down.

relianceschool ,
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And not to go down the conspiracy rabbit hole - I think this is more of a blind "race to the bottom" scenario - but it makes a lot more money for the rent-seeking class when we're socially isolated. A couple shares a house/apartment, shares chores, may even be able to share a car. When they break up, that's now 2 apartments, 2 cars, individual trips for everything, etc.

It's not quite that clean of course, and plenty of folks live with roommates. But there's definitely a perverse economic incentive to keep us detached from community and partnership, and everything from AI/social media/online dating to the gender/culture wars seems to be pushing us farther in that direction.

AI Is Contaminating Online Studies

The rapid development of artificial intelligence (AI) may sound the death knell for a tool social scientists have increasingly come to rely on: online studies. Researchers who use surveys, games, and other online methods to rapidly gather data from large numbers of people have spent years refining methods to weed out unwanted ...

Computers that power self-driving cars could be a huge driver of global carbon emissions ( www.eecs.mit.edu )

A little late to the party with this one, but I came across this study today and thought it was very interesting. Self-driving electric cars are often touted as a solution to fossil-fueled transit, but that comes with a lot of potential downsides that aren't always recognized. For reference, data centers are currently ...

Everyone Hates Data Centers ( insideclimatenews.org )

It’s not a novel observation to say that supporters of President Donald Trump and supporters of U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders find common ground on many issues. They often share a skepticism of entrenched power and a desire to dismantle systems that they think have ceased to serve everyday people. In Indiana, this agreement ...

The end of optimization ( davekarpf.substack.com )

There was a time period in recent internet history — call it the era of Big Data, or the platform era — when the large digital platforms (Google, Facebook, Amazon, Twitter, Netflix) focused on optimization. The platforms had an immutable comparative advantage over their potential competitors. They had more data, more user ...

relianceschool ,
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Not sure why you got a downvote, this is absolutely true. If you have a low SSC you may be subject to travel bans, reduced employment prospects, being barred from attending certain schools, increased surveillance and police monitoring, and public shaming. Other individuals can also have their scores lowered by interacting with you.

This car-free neighborhood was designed to revolutionize American cities ( yaleclimateconnections.org )

What would it take to make car-free living possible across the United States? The question has critical implications for the climate: Transportation is the nation’s top source of emissions, and everyday vehicles are the largest contributor within this category. ...

They survived the hurricane. Their insurance company didn’t. ( grist.org )

Jennifer and Dean Bye were just getting by before Hurricane Ida slammed into southern Louisiana in 2021. The couple own a house in a comfortable subdivision in Paulina, a town about an hour west of New Orleans, that they share with their three kids. ...

relianceschool OP ,
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Yeah, I'm not a big fan of the "don't build data centers here, build them there" conclusion of the report. I see no reason why we should be allowing these monstrosities to be built in the first place, they're a total waste of essential resources.

What We Lost When Cars Won ( grist.org )

When automobiles first started tearing through American streets a century ago, they weren’t exactly welcome. One of the main problems was that they were killing children: in 1921 alone, 286 children in Pittsburgh, 130 in Baltimore, and 97 in Washington, D.C. Cities memorialized the dead with monuments and solemn marches. A ...

Crypto: A Weapon of Mass Corruption

If you were an authoritarian seeking to influence another head of state, you might offer him a luxuriously appointed Boeing 747 airplane. You might spend big at his hotels or invest in one of the many companies owned by him and his children. You might buy his sneakers, NFTs and other branded products. In the case of President ...

Is there any way the average American can insulate themselves from the AI bubble bursting?

The entire US economy is currently being propped up by growth in the AI/tech sector. And I am convinced that LLMs are fundamentally incapable of delivering on the promises being made by the AI CEOs. That means there is a massive bubble that will eventually burst, probably taking the whole US economy with it. ...

relianceschool ,
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This is all great stuff to have on hand, but not relevant for OP's question. They're wondering how to prepare for the equivalent of the dotcom burst or the 2008 recession, not a grid-down scenario.

relianceschool ,
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You're catching downvotes, but according to Google Trends, searches for "gold price" and "ai bubble" are positively correlated, and there's plenty of historic precedent for people flocking to "safe haven" assets when the markets nosedive. Gold went up by 30% from Jan-Sep 2020 (COVID), and nearly doubled in value between 2007 and 2009 (housing crisis), although it did take a dip before rebounding during the dotcom bubble (2000-2003).

That said, I would recommend keeping a significant portion of your money in an HYSA as precious metals are subject to large fluctuations in price and markets don't always behave rationally.

relianceschool , (edited )
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If you'd bought silver (or silver ETFs) a few months ago you would have made a whole bunch of money, and society hasn't ended yet.

relianceschool ,
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But the famous director gets hundreds of thousands every year to make shitty movies nobody sees, because that one time 20 years ago he did something good.

To be fair, this is also how it works in Hollywood.

relianceschool , (edited )
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We are not over capacity at all

We're in a state of ecological overshoot, defined as a population consuming more resources than its environment can replenish. At its simplest, overshoot is a function of individual consumption x total population.

The Global Footprint Network calculates that we crossed this line in 1971, when both our global population (3.8B) and individual energy consumption (15.8kWh) were far lower than they are today (8.2B and 21.7kWh, respectively). Consider also that population is both a cause and effect of energy consumption.

the wealthiest 10% causes over 50% of the pollution.

You're referring to CO2 emissions here (and it's actually closer to 60%), but there are many other symptoms of overshoot. Habitat loss, species extinctions, overharvesting of resources, and other forms of pollution (industrial, particulate, trash) are huge problems in less wealthy nations. In South America, for example, we've seen a 95% loss of wildlife species over the past 50 years. The planetary boundaries framework is helpful for looking at overshoot more holistically, instead of focusing solely on emissions (although that's important too).

In wealthy nations, populations are declining but consumption is unsustainable. In poorer nations, individual consumption is low but population growth is unsustainable. Only by reducing both do we have a hope of living equitably on this planet.

relianceschool , (edited )
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Poorer nation’s peak population estimates are declining every year, as life gets better and child mortality falls population growth lowers everywhere

Yes, that's a good thing.

(another racist shit that’s spreading that poor nations are reproducing too much, btw).

Race doesn't enter into it. If we accept that we crossed into overshoot over 50 years ago, then any birth rate above replacement is ultimately unsustainable.

Energy consumption is more or less useless measure with the rapid rise of renewables, although there are also efforts there to lower that everywhere.

Energy consumption is the measure. It's a direct reflection of the degree to which our lifestyles impact our environment. People seem to have this idea that the only real issue with industrial civilization is that it runs primarily on a fuel that destabilizes our atmosphere, and that if we could simply transition away from this fuel (to solar/wind/nuclear/fusion) we'd be on our way to utopia.

But let's consider what we direct all that energy towards: first, we use it to harvest massive amounts of natural resources, degrading and destroying the environment in the process. (Mining, logging, farming, fishing, etc.) We then transform those natural resources into towns and cities, which pave over and fragment the natural environment in which they're built. We transform them into consumer goods (cars, electronics, plastics, clothing, etc.), the vast majority of which end up as waste in less than a decade. We transform them into all manner of industrial chemicals, many of which end up becoming individual ecological disasters of their own.

Transitioning to a "clean" form of energy does nothing to address what we do with it. Living sustainably requires drastically downscaling our total ecological footprint.

relianceschool ,
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If you ride a bike even remotely seriously, your bike is not cheap… It might not be expensive, but you quickly realize why cheap bikes are cheap.

Spot on. I've got about $3k into my bike, but it's not a fancy race bike (it's a steel fixed gear), so I invested in bombproof parts that could end up outliving me. Once a year I'll replace the tires/chain/brake pads, service the bearings, and strip/regrease a few parts, so the running cost is maybe $15/month. If you've got a road bike with a 2x drivetrain, or if you're paying people to service your bike that might go up to $30/month, but still negligible compared to a car.

relianceschool ,
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The people living in true rural America truly do not have the ability to do so. But again, that’s less then a quarter of the populations and likely far less then a quarter of all kids.

Counterpoint: I lived in an extremely remote part of Vermont (population 400) for a couple years without a car, and I got around fine on my bike. The trick was living close to my work, which was easy since housing was dirt cheap. That said, getting out of town was difficult, as the buses (Greyhound) were notoriously unreliable. I also got random people buzzing me in pickups screaming at me for existing once in a while.

In mind-bending twist, ‘magic’ mushrooms evolved twice independently ( www.science.org )

By twisting the dials on key neurotransmitter systems in our brains, psychoactive compounds in a few kinds of mushrooms can provoke profound psychedelic experiences. The same compounds also show promise in treating illnesses such as therapy-resistant depression. But researchers don’t fully understand how they work in the ...

relianceschool OP ,
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Sorry about that, I pasted the thumbnail URL instead of the article URL. Post is updated.

relianceschool ,
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True, but consider that a huge amount of retail investors' portfolios are tied to the S&P 500/NASDAQ. Think retirement savings, IRAs, 401(k)s, pensions, etc. Then consider that the entire market is effectively propped up by AI right now (see: The entire stock market is being carried by these four AI stocks). If the market gets a 60% correction, it's going to be the middle class losing their shirts all over again.

relianceschool , (edited )
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If people think it's a bubble, then it's a bubble! (Self-fulfilling prophecy.) Google Trends is a decent gauge of public sentiment. That said, the fundamentals are pretty flawed too.

So many climate solutions, so few emissions reductions. A new book explains why. ( grist.org )

In 2022, a small group of researchers came up with a bright idea: What if we were to install a network of lamps above tropical forests, flooding them with light at night in order to boost photosynthesis? Doing this in the Amazon alone, they argued, would increase plants’ uptake of CO2 by so much that it could “completely ...

Insects aren’t ‘little robots’—so scientists are rethinking their welfare

Scientists have long assumed that insects and other invertebrates can’t feel pain. As a result, these creatures are often left out of the legal and ethical guidelines that require mice, monkeys, and other laboratory animals to be treated as humanely as possible. But what would it look like to broaden these protections to the ...

Made-to-order bioweapons? AI-designed toxins slip through safety checks ( www.science.org )

Microsoft bioengineer Bruce Wittmann normally uses artificial intelligence (AI) to design proteins that could help fight disease or grow food. But last year, he used AI tools like a would-be bioterrorist: creating digital blueprints for proteins that could mimic deadly poisons and toxins such as ricin, botulinum, and Shiga. ...