The Decimal Revolution: 60 years of Decimal Currency in Australia

February 16, 2026

On Feb 14 1966, the currency was decimalised in Australia.

RBA has released interesting material on the 60th anniversary:

In the late 1950s, under the guidance of the Decimal Currency Committee, the Australian Government began to give practical consideration to replacing the imperial system of pounds, shillings and pence with decimal currency – an innovation that had been contemplated since the beginning of the 20th century.

Decimal currency simplified calculations, increasing financial efficiency. However, it represented a radical change to the customary transactions made daily by the nation. In 1963, the government announced that it would introduce decimal currency in 1966. In accordance with the recommendations of the Decimal Currency Committee, it explained that:

    • a changeover to decimal currency would be set for February 1966
    • the major currency unit (subsequently named the dollar) would be equal to ten shillings
    • the minor currency unit (subsequently named the cent) would be one hundredth of the major unit, equal to 1 .2d. in the existing currency system
    • no fractions of the minor unit would be introduced
    • reasonable compensation would be paid to owners of monetary machines that would require conversion.

The Decimal Currency Board was established to oversee the far-reaching program of work. A new series of coins and banknotes was designed as part of the introduction of decimal currency, with imagery that enhanced a sense of the country’s distinctive identity.

Bulgarian Central Bank Deputy Governor appointed Prime Minister

February 13, 2026

On one hand, Bulgaria has celebrating transition to Euro suggesting all is well in the country.

On the other hand, Bulgaria is going through a major political storm. So much so the President has appointed the former Deputy Governor of the central bank as the interim Prime Minister.

“I selected Andrey Gurov because he was the only one resigning his office as deputy governor of the Bulgarian National Bank (BNB),” Bulgarian President Iliana Iotova told a news conference at the President’s Administration on Thursday after mandating Gurov, in his capacity as caretaker prime minister, to propose a line-up of a caretaker cabinet.

“The doubts about a conflict of interest are eliminated. I don’t entertain any doubts about a political commitment of the rest of the institutions: the BNB, the National Ombudsman and the Bulgarian National Audit Office,” the head of State added. 

In July 2023, Gurov was elected by Parliament BNB Deputy Governor for a six-year term. In June 2024, the Anti-Corruption Commission found him incompatible with this office by reason of a conflict of interest because when taking up his post at the central bank he was a partner in a commercial corporation and a member of governing bodies of non-governmental organizations, without having obtained permission from the bank’s Governing Council. Pending a ruling by the court and a resolution by Parliament on whether Gurov may serve as central bank deputy governor and Governing Council member, the BNB Governing Council suspended Gurov from the exercise of his powers. At the end of 2024, the Court of Justice of the European Union (CJEU), acting at the request of Gurov’s defence, opened a case concerning his case. The CJEU was approached by Bulgaria’s Supreme Administrative Court for a preliminary ruling on eight questions related to the interpretation of provisions of the Statute of the European System of Central Banks, the European Central Bank, and the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.

Iotova pointed out that the latest amendments to the Constitution left the presidential institution with no choice, the idea having been to curtail the president’s powers at variance with the fundamental philosophy of the Bulgarian Constitution. “Each candidate [for caretaker PM] was pre-elected by the National Assembly, by political majority,” she added.

According to the President, instead of selecting the best suited person for this office in a critical situation, the choice was now reduced to whether that person is from the status quo or from the opposition.

Under the Constitution as last amended, the President of the Republic is limited to a pool of ten senior public officials from among whom to chose a caretaker PM: the National Assembly Chair, the central bank governor and the three deputy governors, the Bulgarian National Audit Office president and the two vice presidents, and the National Ombudsman and the deputy ombudsman.

 

In financial terms, stablecoins resemble money-market fund shares or deposits in a narrow bank

February 13, 2026

Denmark central bank Governor Signe Krogstrup discusses stablecoins in this speech. The stablecoins have features similar to money arket mutual funds or deposits in a narrow bank:

A stablecoin is a digital token designed to maintain a fixed value against underlying assets, most often a fiat currency, and is typically backed by cash or short-term government securities. It is basically a backed crypto asset, but without the price swings of unbacked assets such as Bitcoin.

In financial terms, stablecoins resemble long-standing instruments such as money-market fund shares or deposits in a narrow bank.
Accordingly, many of the associated risks are familiar.

What is new is the technological foundation: stablecoins operate on distributed ledger technology, or DLT. This allows the token to
function as a transferable digital bearer instrument – akin to cash – without requiring a bank account or registration with the issuer. It
also enables new functionalities and the execution of transactions within DLT-based environments.

DLT offers several advantages. It is operational around the clock, is programmable, and enables the integration of multiple features
and transactions within a single automated workflow. Bitcoin is often cited as the first widely adopted crypto asset based on DLT. It
was introduced in the aftermath of the financial crisis, inspired by a desire to create an alternative to banks and central banks. A decentralised ecosystem, where trust in institutions would be replaced by trust in code.

Almost 20 years later, it is broadly acknowledged that these ambitions were not fulfilled. Bitcoin has proven too volatile and too slow to function effectively as money, that is, as a means of payment, store of value or a unit of account. It has instead become a speculative asset.

Nevertheless, elements of the technology, particularly those related to settlement efficiency, transparency, and programmability, are gradually gaining traction. Stablecoins have emerged as a compromise: they combine the technological advantages of DLT with the stability provided by fiat-based backing and trust based on existing institutions.

Italian cricket vs Indian football

February 12, 2026

Italy just won the first world cup cricket match against Nepal. When Italy qualified for the world cup, lots of headlines rolled. First, a football crazy European nation has made it through their first cricket world cup.  And now a victory against Nepal which played so well against England in the last match. It was expected that Nepal will win but Italy beat them comprehensively.

While just scrolling through cricinfo, came across this commentary after the end of 3rd over:

“Do we have any Italian supporters out there? Would people back home be cheering this cricket team as they do to football?” Think those doing most of the cheering for the Moscas will be back home in Sydney, Fahad. But on a serious note, Wayne Madsen said before the tournament they hoped success here would bring them more exposure in Italy.

Reading through the Madsen article:

The people of Italy love their sport, but until this year, cricket never really got the spotlight. The locals confuse it too easily with croquet and baseball, one Italian says. Another tells the story of how it took until the coloured jerseys of the 1992 World Cup for Italians to realise batters and bowlers were not on the same team.
But they are finally sitting up to take notice. Italy’s appearance at their maiden T20 World Cup will be broadcast on TV, there are three Italian journalists travelling with the team in India to capture the historic occasion, and football World Cup winner Andrea Pirlo has given them a shout-out.
The biggest stamp of approval is the half-page article in the newspapers previewing Italy’s World Cup campaign – a rarity for the sport in a country where the back pages these days are reserved only for football, the Winter Olympics and Six Nations rugby.
As one follows the Italian cricket story, one can’t help but compare it to Indian football. Just like Italian cricket team is trying to get some media attention in Italy, Indian football is hoping to get some attention in India. Just like Italians will find it difficult to believe that football is barely popular in India, Indians will find it difficult to believe that cricket is barely popular in Italy.   Much of Europe is crazy about football and much of South Asia is crazy about cricket.
Indian football could take some inspiration from Italian cricket.  They need to find a way to make it to World Cup somehow and then gradually things could pick up. Attempts have been made to make football popular in India but not succeeded so far.
One also should not read too much on Italian cricket. We have seen cricket teams such as Kenya doing well in previous World Cups (even reached semis in 2003) only to dwindle away.
But then let’s not take anything away from the current team and let it live and enjoy the present.  Given Italy’s super performance against Nepal, their run rate is currently better than England and who knows they could make it to super eights from the group.
It is also very interesting how migrant players from South Asia have filled up teams of so-called Associate teams such as USA, Italy, Canada etc. Lot like we see in football where African players fill up teams of the European nations. That is a post for some other day.

Finally, CPI inflation has a new base year

February 12, 2026

After a long long wait, Statistics Ministry has changed the CPI base year from 2012 to 2024.

These are some of the major changes:

  • Base revised from 2012 to 2024 using Household Consumption Expenditure Survey 2023-24
  • 12 Divisions in place of 6 Groups in accordance to Classification of Individual Consumption According to Purpose (COICOP) 2018
  • Release of All India and State level Item indices for rural, urban and combined sectors
  • New Additions: Rural housing, Online media service provider/Streaming services, value added dairy products, Barley & its product, Pen-drive & External Hard disk, Attendant, Babysitter and Exercise equipment
  • Items Removed: VCR/VCD/DVD player and hiring charges, Radio, Tape recorder, Clothing second-hand, CD/DVD audio/video cassettes and Coir/rope

Lots of discussion will happen over the days on the base year change.

The Cantonment Conspiracy: A Military Thriller by General Manoj Mukund Naravane

February 12, 2026

General Manoj Mukund Naravane’s book has stirred a huge controversy in India. General Naravane might be seeing ironically how the humble pen is as mighty as a sword.  

I just realised that General Naravane published another book, a military thriller in 2025 – The Cantonment Conspiracy:

Two officers fresh out of the National Defence Academy (NDA) get posted at a laid-back military garrison on the banks of the Ganga River in Western UP. Lieutenant Rohit Verma comes from an army background, knows the ropes and generally has it easy. Lieutenant Renuka Khatri, on the other hand, is from a civilian background, and from the first batch of girl cadets admitted to the NDA. They both have to prove that they are worthy of being army officers. During a welcome party at the officers’ mess, one of the ladies is assaulted and the needle of suspicion falls on Rohit. A court of inquiry is ordered, with Renuka unearthing crucial evidence that points to more sinister connections.

When one of the witnesses due to depose before the court is murdered, it not only absolves Rohit but also starts the hunt for the real killer. Initially sceptical, the commandant throws his weight behind the investigation, which as it unfolds, reveals similarities to events rooted in the past. In their hunt for the suspect, Rohit and Renuka are assisted by Rehmat, a local village girl. The trio of Rohit-Renuka-Rehmat (RRR) must race against time to catch the killer before he can strike again.

Wow. That is quote something for the head of army staff to turn an author.

I was hearing General Naravane’s interview with Karan Thapar where he discusses his transition to being an author. Humble and impressive.

The euro as a sign of belonging

February 11, 2026

Dimitar Radev, Governor of Bulgaria central bank on adoption of Euro:

There are moments that are difficult to explain with figures, analyses, or institutional formulas. Moments in which what is heard is not a position, but an experience. Increasingly often, young, highly educated Bulgarians speak about Bulgaria’s European path with an emotion that cannot be learned or simulated – with a confidence that comes not from declarations, but from belonging.

A few weeks ago, I attended such a conversation. A Bulgarian who grew up in the Netherlands and today holds a responsible position in a European institution said, quite simply: “From a young age, I tried to convince my classmates and friends that Bulgaria is part of Europe. They did not understand me. Today, everyone understands.”

There was no pose in those words. There was calmness and clarity.

Today, the words “Welcome, Bulgaria” can be heard and seen in Frankfurt, Brussels, Luxembourg, and in many other places across Europe. Our response to our friends there is brief and clear: “Thank you, friends. We are home.”

This is not protocol. This is a feeling.

In this sense, the euro is not merely an economic decision. It is not just a currency. It is a sign of belonging – that your place is not on the periphery, but within a space of shared rules, trust, and responsibility. A sign that the effort you have made has been recognised and accepted.

The Bulgarian lev has always been more than money. Its name comes from the lion – a symbol that has accompanied Bulgarian statehood for centuries. The lev remains part of our history and of the memory of generations of Bulgarians. No one is taking it away. It simply takes its place in the story of our country – alongside the marks, francs, and liras of other European nations.

The euro does not interrupt this story. It continues it.

The Bulgarian letters, the images of the Madara Horseman, Saint Ivan of Rila, and Paisius of Hilendar on European currency state clearly: we are not abandoning who we are. We are affirming who we are.

In recent days, this choice was also acknowledged by Ecumenical Patriarch Bartholomew – with that calm authority that does not judge, but recognises the meaning of symbols. A moment that reflects Bulgaria’s confident presence in Europe, spiritual maturity, and respect for its own history. Not as a renunciation of identity, but as its confident presence within a broader community.

This moment does not call for exaltation. It calls for clarity. And for the calm confidence that belonging, memory, and the future can move forward together.

GOD SAVE BULGARIA

This is what is written on the newest European coins. And that says enough.

Because Bulgaria is Europe. And Europe is Bulgaria.

Pen is mightier than sword…

February 11, 2026

In 1839, English author Edward Bulwer-Lytton wrote the famous lines: Pen is mightier than sword.

Every now and then, these words come true when books/articles are shown to be more effective than the most advanced weapons.

What better and more ironical way to see these words ringing true than today’s India.

India’s former head of Army Staff Mr Mohan Narvane has fought many a battles and won many gallantry awards. However, he would never have realised how his pen will prove to be mightier than all the modern weapons (swords) he has seen/used all his life. His memoir has been caught in a political storm and he has suddenly become a household name.

Even Bulwer-Lytton would be amazed to note the ironies in this case.

Why the arts market is not like other markets?

February 11, 2026

Roshan Ghadamian of Institute for Regenerative Systems Architecture in this paper points why there is opactity in arts’ markets:

The global art market is one of the oldest and most valuable asset markets, yet it lacks the institutional features typically required for market coherence: standardised asset representation, public transaction records, aggregate price discovery, and persistent inventory accounting. This absence is commonly attributed to the subjective nature of artistic value, cultural norms of exclusivity, or resistance to quantification. This paper argues instead that the art market’s opacity reflects a deeper architectural absence: the lack of a shared market constitution capable of jointly representing supply, demand, provenance, and transaction history.

Drawing on a comparative analysis of mature markets in finance, real estate, and commodities, the paper shows that platform-level innovations-including digital marketplaces, social commerce, and provenance ledgers-fail not because of insufficient adoption or technology, but because platforms cannot substitute for missing institutional layers.

The art market is thus characterised as a pre-institutional market: one that operates through bilateral exchange and narrative valuation in the absence of a coordinating market architecture. By reframing opacity as structurally stable rather than culturally incidental, this paper extends architectural theories of market design into cultural and symbolic domains, and illustrates how market failure persists even under conditions of technological abundance.

How Federal Reserve’s decentralised structure produced new ideas on banking policy

February 11, 2026

Residential Segregation and Unequal Access to Local Public Services in India: Evidence from 1.5m Neighborhoods

February 10, 2026

Sam Asher, Kritarth Jha, Paul Novosad, Anjali Adukia and Brandon Tan analyse residential segregation in this NBER paper :

The long goodbye of the History of Economic Thought course in liberal arts colleges in the US

February 10, 2026

In 2001, Mark Blaug wrote a paper titled: No History of Ideas, Please, We’re Economists. He pointed how History of Economic Thought is held in low esteem amidst economists and economics curriculums.

Twenty five years later, Humberto Barreto of Depauw University’s research shows how little things have changed. The course History of Economic Thought is disappearing from undergraduate curriculums:

Economists of a certain age will remember a world in which the history of economic thought (HET) was alive and flourishing. Today, that is not the case. One little-noticed consequence of the elimination of HET from graduate programs in the United States is that the HET course is an endangered species at the undergraduate level. It is not, however, extinct. This paper offers a brief history of HET as a course and explores the extent of the diminution in HET courses in the undergraduate liberal arts college curriculum in the United States. Roughly 40% of 146 schools have a HET course in their catalog, but only 20% actively teach the course. I predict a continued decline in the near future, but HET will not completely disappear. An Excel workbook with all results, HETUndergradLA2025.xlsm, is available at dub.sh/HETdata.

 

Do Research Universities Recession-Proof Their Regions? Evidence from State Flagship College Towns

February 10, 2026

Robert Calvert and Adam Scavette in Philadelphia paper:

Using synthetic differences-in-differences models, we study whether U.S. counties containing state flagship universities experienced resiliency via lower unemployment rates during the past three U.S. recessions.

We find an insignificant effect for the 2001 recession and a large resiliency effect for the 2008-2009 recession. However, counties with flagship universities faced higher unemployment rates during the 2020 recession, and were therefore less resilient to the Covid-19 recession than other counties. These results support the hypothesis that stable consumption demand for non-tradables drives resiliency, which was absent during the 2020 recession when most university campuses were closed to students due to Covid-19 restrictions.

Book Review: The Precarious Migrant Worker and Precarious: The Lives of Migrant Workers

February 10, 2026

Book Review
Panos Theodoropoulos. 2025. The Precarious Migrant Worker: The Socialization of Precarity. Polity Press. E-Book ISBN: 978-1-509-56500-9. Pages 224.  Price $20. June.
&
Marcello Di Cintio. 2025. Precarious: The Lives of Migrant Workers. Biblioasis. E-Book ISBN: 9781771966603. Pages 342. Price $24.95 CAD. September.

By Annavajhula J C Bose, PhD
Former (Economics) Professor, SRCC, DU

Read the rest of this entry »

Asian Immigration to the United States in Historical Perspective

February 9, 2026

Hannah Postel in recent Journal of Economic Perspectives:

Keynes’s General Theory, 90 years on

February 9, 2026

John Maynard Keynes’s book ‘ The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money” was published in February 1936.

In Feb-2026, the book marks its 90th nniversary.

My piece in Financial Express reflecting on the 90th annoiversary of how a book changed and divided the world of economics.

A Decomposition of Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Reduction

February 6, 2026

Benjamin Eyal, Dave Na, and Arsenios Skaperdas decompose the reduction of Federal Reserve balance sheet in this Fed paper:

Since the Global Financial Crisis, central banks have used the size and composition of their balance sheets to influence financial conditions and economic activity when policy rates are constrained by the effective lower bound. A common measure of the size of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet is the System Open Market Account (SOMA) securities holdings expressed as a share of nominal gross domestic product (NGDP).

In this note, we use this measure to focus on the recent reduction in the Fed’s balance sheet and decompose that reduction into three components: inflation, real GDP growth, and active reductions in securities holdings. Comparing the balance sheet reduction episode of 2022-2025 with the 2014-2019 period, we find that the active component—reductions in securities holdings—has played a significantly larger role. We find that this shift is consistent with changes in FOMC policy communications following the pandemic, which in turn reflect a policy response to higher inflation and lower unemployment than during the prior episode.

A prayer for cricket to rise above the politics

February 5, 2026

Andrew Fidel Fernando prays for cricket to rise above politics.

The men’s T20 World Cup is cricket’s biggest party. It is the pinnacle event that showcases the broadest array of teams – from Europe, the Antipodes, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas. The guest list had been finalised. The caterers were locked in. The band was booked.

But oh. In the neighbourhood hosting the party, dysfunction is spilling over. Pakistan had refused to play in India, in return for India having refused to play in Pakistan last year. Bangladesh have since exited the tournament for different reasons. Now, most recently, Pakistan have announced they will not play their group match against India even in Colombo. These are tornadoes that have been whipped up in the political world and then sent in cricket’s direction. What this means for the tournament is that as the guests are arriving, there is obvious discomfort. To cut this tension, you’d need a chainsaw.

This is not the first time that countries have refused to play in world competitons. Starting from 1996 when Australia and West Indies refused to play in war-torn Sri Lanka to 2025 when India refused to play in Champions trophy hosted by Pakistan, there is a long history.

He is hoping that the players rise above the political din and revive the spirit of the sport.

Though one can argue that it is too late for any sanity to return.

Read the rest of this entry »

Frenemies at the gates: Principal Trading Firms vs Banks

February 4, 2026
Rebecca Jackson of Bank of England speaks on the rise of specialist electronic markets and liquidity providers. She calls them Principal Trading Firms  and how they are providing opportunities and competition to traditional players such as banks:
Rebecca Jackson’s keynote speech focuses on a changing market landscape, shaped by rapid advances in new technologies and the growing importance of specialist electronic market makers and liquidity providers, known as Principal Trading Firms. These specialist players create valuable business opportunities for banks as well as providing new competition – they are banks’ frenemies. The PRA welcomes innovations where banks’ risk management and controls keep pace.

Geopolitical risk: a database of general and bilateral indices

February 4, 2026

Irma Alonso-Alvarez, Ekaterina Bukina, Marina Diakonova, Nino Khitarishvili, Javier J. Pérez and Pedro Piqueras in this Bank of Spain paper:

This paper presents a comprehensive database of geopolitical risk (GPR) indices for 34 countries, constructed using a standardized textual analysis methodology applied to national news sources. Building on the framework introduced in Alonso-Alvarez et al. (2025), we calculate both general and bilateral GPR indices that reflect the intensity and origin of geopolitical tensions as perceived in domestic media narratives.

The indices are derived from a dictionary-based approach applied to press articles accessed via the Factiva platform, with queries translated into 15 languages to ensure linguistic and cultural relevance.

Bilateral indices focus on four key regions – Russia, China, the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), and the Western Bloc – capturing how each country perceives external geopolitical threats. The resulting high-frequency dataset is validated through statistical robustness checks and narrative analysis of index peaks.

Our work contributes to the literature by offering a scalable, globally representative tool for analyzing geopolitical risk, complementing existing measurements such as the Caldara-Lacoviello GPR index and enabling new empirical applications in macroeconomics, finance and international relations.


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