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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 22nd, 2023

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  • We might have had to suffer it either way. Remember, RFK apparently approached both Kamala and Trump offering to endorse whoever let him be health secretary. Kamala reportedly refused, so good for her. Trump obviously didn’t. But there are a lot of MAHA/vaccine skeptics around the area I live, more than I was prepared for (judging by pre-election lawn signs before RFK dropped out).

    It’s possible RFK’s loyalists were enough to effectively pick the president. I think we all underestimated how deeply anti-science contrarianism has burrowed into our neighbors and communities.




  • Not everyone wins in a failing economy. If one billionaire makes out, three more lose money.

    No, yeah, that’s true. But the billionaires are also competing with each other in a (perceived) zero-sum game and they believe the ones who are cozying closest to Trump will be the best ones positioned to make money - either in a corrupt or a failing economy. But every recession has been a golden opportunity for billionaires.

    Heck, in post-collapse Russia, this is how oligarchs first appeared - the “shock therapy” of the 1990s transition to a market economy dropped the value of resources to nothing, and the rich at the time bought them and became the ultra-rich. Some didn’t make it. ( Like a super-bacteria forming from the ones not killed by antibiotics, the ones that survived were even more resistant to control.)


  • Let’s say the pre-Trump economy is worth $100 trillion, and a particular billionaire’s share is $2 billion. Let’s say Trump catastrophically decreases the economy’s value to $50 trillion, while increasing corruption such that that Trump is getting more power, and the billionaire’s share is $10 billion.

    This is followed by a collapsing market that creates a dip in share prices or private valuation, the assets of which can be bought for pennies on the dollar, eventually leading to that billionaire having $30 billion in a total economy worth $20 trillion.

    Win/win for Trump and the billionaire, at the cost of everyone else.

    That’s basically what’s happening, and will continue to happen.



  • Edit: See Silence7’s comment below, unlisted planned locations and expansions may undermine the conclusions.

    My observations:

    The list adds more evidence that Trump/Miller are actively planning to use ICE to interfere with polling in 2026 and (their hope is) 2028. The following states are states that are potentially contestable either as Biden '20-Trump’24 swing states or are close enough to swing that ICE’s racial profiling against primarily Latinos may swing demographics. These are getting high amounts of ICE buildout (Edit: Per the limited, incomplete list of planned locations on Wired):

    • Arizona (2)
    • Florida (5) (*2026 senate seat)
    • Michigan (3) (*2026 senate seat)
    • North Carolina (2) (*2026 senate seat)
    • Pennsylvania (5)
    • Texas (6) (*2026 senate seat)
    • Virginia (3) (*2026 senate seat)

    California is also getting 5, and that may reflect the plan to use it as the next flashpoint state. Since California may be seen as more likely to be volatile, I could imagine the plan is to replicate Minnesota in California this summer. They may assume they will succeed in getting Fox News-ready violent response footage if they continue acting illegally, and use that propaganda to try to give cover to the Insurrection Act, leading to an antifa “anti-terrorist” push, which then is used nationwide to justify ICE at high-value House/Senate swing district polling stations in the fall.

    States that Trump were previously trialing ICE takeover but are safely democratic (Oregon, Illinois) are NOT getting significantly more offices, which again suggests they don’t intend to try to swing those. Neither is Minnesota. That is likely because Trump (i.e., Miller) isn’t going to risk more bad PR there. He knows murdering Nice White People™ is the red line for most of the low-information public who will shrug at “is it or isn’t it” fascism otherwise. Minnesota served its purpose as proving ground for the tactics and violence they plan to use.



  • Types of congresspeople:

    • I’m here for the power: Mostly staying.

    • I’m here because I believe in true left causes: Mostly staying.

    • I’m here because I am a democrat and there’s literally nothing wrong: Mostly staying.

    • I’m here for the money or conservative principles, never intended to change anything, and didn’t sign up for this shit: Retiring to my Swiss chalet.

    The article cites some democrats that are retiring to run for higher office. Great, anecdotal, but the only data they provide shows it’s basically a Republican retirement wave. Overall I think it’s a wash.

    The retiring republicans will be replaced in small part by democrats if there is a blue wave and reasonably fair election, but many are fake MAGA (i.e., voting with Trump 100% of the time, but they don’t like it and privately think it beneath them) who will be replaced by true-believer MAGA who are going to try to actively push us faster into fascism.