perestroika

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perestroika , (edited )

The article gives a good overview of the situation. I have only a few things to add.

  • war is a match of game theory (finding moves that harm the opponent) and accelerated evolution of the technology and methods for doing so

  • if a weapon works, choosing not to use it typically increases chance of defeat

  • there is no doubt that autonomous weapons work

  • about the only thing which seems to prevent some weapons (e.g. of mass destruction) from being used in some wars, is threat of being targeted with the same kind, or a large coalition of opponents forming and intervening

  • so, only continued development of international law (collective agreement on behalf of a large coalition of states, representing most of human population) has any chance of restraining use of autonomous weapons

  • sadly, I don't see states wanting continued development of international law

  • restraining production of autonomous weapons is probably hopeless, a reasonably good competition robot can be weaponized with some success

So, future will have states threatening each other with swarms of autonomous weapons, and terrorist entitities using them at a smaller scale. Weapons that destroy electronics (EMP, microwave, lasers for frying cameras) will be highly sought after for defense. Air defense and antidrone systems will be much more common than today. At some point in history, there will be a war where a large swarm of autonomous weapons is used for mass destruction (maybe against civilians too). Quite possibly, a response will be given with a different weapon of mass destruction (e.g. nuclear EMP used to disable the swarm). Regulation is unlikely to succceed since states are nowhere near agreement (in fact, fighting new and avoidable wars among each other).

perestroika ,

If you aren't prepared to beat up a US diplomat in retribution for ill treatment received in their land, simply don't travel to the US - because they don't currently have rule of law there.

I would advise to wait a long time. If things improve, the US might be possible to visit - maybe in 5 years. If things don't improve, there's nothing irreplaceable there - visiting some other place seems wiser.

perestroika ,

Technical summary: it seems OK against an observer who can see the network traffic but hasn't infiltrated the phone of the source or the computer of the news organization.

Any real message is stored locally on the smartphone by the CoverDrop module and sent as the next CoverDrop message, i.e. replacing the dummy message which would otherwise have been sent. Consequently a network observer cannot determine whether any communication is taking place and CoverDrop therefore provides the potential source with plausible deniability.

The CoverNode and each journalist has their own public-private key pair. These keys are published by the news organization and available to the CoverDrop module directly so the user does not need know about them. When the CoverDrop module is used for the first time, it generates a new, random public-private key pair
for the user.

All real CoverDrop messages sent by the CoverDrop module to the CoverNode include the text written by the potential source as well as their own public key. The message is first encrypted using the public key of the journalist who will ultimately receive the message, then encrypted a second time using the public key of the CoverNode. All dummy CoverDrop messages are encrypted using the public key of the CoverNode. All messages, real or dummy, are arranged to be the same, fixed length. Encryption and length constraints ensure that only the CoverNode can distinguish between real and dummy messages.

perestroika , (edited )

Aitäh, proovin, kas saan sinna oma teiselt Lemmy kontolt.

Tulemus: töötab küll, soovitan teistele kah. :)

perestroika ,

This is a real phenomenon, first widely reported in 2022. Due to some reason, it has resurged.

Arrests in France after scores report being attacked with syringes at street music festival

Millions of people took to the streets across France on Saturday evening for the Fête de la Musique, with authorities reporting “unprecedented crowds” in Paris. The feminist influencer Abrège Soeur warned online before the festival that calls had been made on social media for women to be targeted with syringes. It was not certain where such posts would have been made or by whom.

The interior ministry said 145 victims across the country had reported being stabbed with needles during outdoor music events across the country. Paris police reported 13 cases in the capital. Officials did not say if these were cases of so-called needle spiking with date-rape drugs such as Rohypnol or GHB, used by attackers to render victims confused or unconscious and vulnerable to sexual assault. “Some victims were taken to hospital for toxicological tests,” the ministry said.

In Paris, investigations were opened after three people, including a 15-year-old girl and an 18-year-old male, reported being stabbed in separate incidents across Paris, prosecutors said. All three reported feeling unwell. Across France, 12 suspects have been arrested, the interior ministry said. Among them were four people in the south-western city of Angoulême suspected of having targeted about 50 victims, a police source said.

/.../ There was a wave of reports in 2022 about alleged syringe attacks against women and men in clubs, bars, music events and even theatres. The government put out messages at the time for people going out at night to be vigilant and advising them that they should go immediately to the police and also have a toxicology test if they thought they had been drugged by a syringe prick.

Since another person linked to a story about this on Twitter, of all things, I did some background checking. Does not look like a "panic", but a new genre of crime.

The mayor of the city of Metz, identifiable, writes on social media (Instagram) confirming the occurrence. Confirming that arrests have been made. Other sources (among them old media outlets like the Guardian, see above link) report about it.

Incitement allegedly occurred over social media. It will be investigated where it occurred. Victims have been sent to toxicology. It will be investigated what was injected, if anything. Some victims reported feeling unwell.

Guess: in a crowd, it is relatively easy to anonymously attack someone and hope to leave little evidence. However, this time, it has been claimed that some assailants were detained on the spot. There will be information confirming or denying this pretty soon.

Before And After: The Iranian Nuclear Sites Targeted By US Airstrikes ( www.rferl.org )

Satellite imagery taken after the US strike on Iran's Fordow site showed smoke rising from the fuel enrichment plant. US President Donald Trump claimed key Iranian nuclear sites had been "obliterated," while Iran claimed it had removed nuclear material from the sites before the strikes.

perestroika , (edited )

Bunker busters only have about 2kg of payload,

Nope. Please note: when an American writes 2.082 lb, he's not meaning 2 pounds and tidbits. He's meaning 2000 pounds. AFX and PBXN are not glitter, they're explosives. :)

Filling AFX-757/PBXN-114

Filling weight 4,590 / 752 lb (2,082 / 341 kg)

perestroika OP ,

Opinion:

  • Iranian air defense continues to be a joke, they knew it was coming, but accomplished nothing

  • seems like a poor bombing job from the USAF, unless they knew exactly where to hit and didn't care about destroying the whole structure

  • seems like Iran had over 24 hours of advance warning and buried the road entry points (typically such a move would also speak in favour of evacuating all people and valuables)

Since they buried the entry ways, there's good reason to think they didn't leave any transportable (metallic) uranium there. It's probably in 30 different basements and the owners think it's a load of potatoes.

Political implications: oil price is going up, naval action in the strait of Hormuz is likely. :( Putin will be able to replenish his cash reserves. :(

Side note: in the recent days, Iran has acquired pretty good GPS jamming. Someone's webshop will have a review soon: "4/5 quick delivery, easy to set up, good coverage, sadly doesn't stop all bombs".

perestroika OP ,

It would depend on the rock type, but I have the same opinion basically (I'm not a geologist or explosives expert, of course) - there is not enough data to claim destruction.

Places about 100 m deep (e.g. metro station Arsenalnaya in Kyiv) have been so far considered totally secure from conventional weapons. Of course, MOP is a big special purpose weapon, so the old truth might no longer apply... but I'm not convinced that Fordo is ruined.

perestroika ,

Mina ei tea veel oma vastust.

Ma ei ole veendunud, et ma üldse Lemmys tahan edasi toimetada. Raiskab aega ja rahvarohkematel kanalitel keskkond juba taastoodab Redditi dünaamikat. Redditi dünaamika: inimesed ei loe, vaid keskenduvad põlvenõksu hääletamisele.

Mina eelistan keskkonda, kus ei saa hääletada. Siis inimesed on sunnitud oma argumendid lahti kirjutama, nii positiivsed kui negatiivsed. Minu arvates tuleb inimesi selleks sundida, ning öelda et "kes ei viitsi kirjutada, läheb koju". Lihtne võimalus öelda "ma ei taha sind kuulda" toob inimestes esile karilooma. Mikrokeskkonnad nagu see siin, on tänini sellest puutumata, aga ainult seni, kuni jäävad mikrokeskkonnaks. Mistahes suuremas keskkonnas, kui see pole targasti ehitatud, tuleb esile sitem pale.

perestroika ,

It's not politically and psychologiclaly realistic for Iran to return to negotiations.

At this time, they perceive themselves to have been attacked without provocation - basically because Netanyahu needed a small victorious war - and resistance is not something one negotiates about.

Also, the ayatollah is an authoritarian ruler. Negotiation would be perceived as a sign of weakness by the opposition and population - and he might be ousted. He knows this, so he will continue the war.

perestroika ,

Not sure about "obliterated". There's two bomb entry points at the top of the ridge. Road entry points haven't been bombed. Support building is standing.

Iran had warning, since they managed to bury the road access points. I would not be surprised if they evacuated all people and valuable stuff from the site.

perestroika ,

After existing since 1979, Iran's government is pretty far from "revolutionary". In fact, looking at their domestic policy, I'll call them reactionary without a second thought.

Their most "revolutionary" thought probably was: "let's export our theocracy to other lands".

They are a symptom however. The shah was so unpopular (read: repressive) that islamists were able to take over. The shah was propped up by the UK and US in the 1950-ties, in a coup, because Iran nationalized oil industries.

perestroika ,

I will use the opportunity to remind that Signal is operated by a non-profit in the jurisdiction called "the US". This could have implications.

A somewhat more anarchist option might be TOX. There is no single client, TOX is a protocol, you can choose from half a dozen clients. I personally use qTox.

Upside: no phone number required. No questions asked.

Downside: no servers to store and forward messages. You can talk if both parties are online.

perestroika ,

You can use Signal with a different client.

Can you advise, which one would be a good one? Because I actually use Signal too, it's just misbehaving a lot recently.

I have had endless difficulties with Signal forcing upgrades on me and requiring to sign in on the phone, under threat of deactivating my account (I use it on a PC).

perestroika ,

They're probably not joking, TOX IDs are like that. :) Mine is:

CA9A4C1968AA38CC93CB32F31F3682AB897ABA42C90E6F0EA5E1FB541930FD64138B4CC09AD*

(*the number opposite to the first is the number that comes after one, to hinder any spam bots)

perestroika ,

Commentary:

You're linking to the Times of Israel. Since the news outlet operates in Israel, it is subject to censorship by the IDF, and they have chosen to use their power to censor the article and omit weapon types.

If you want information about assassinations of Iranian nuclear scientists, get their list from Wikipedia and google each of their names, looking for descriptions.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassinations_of_Iranian_nuclear_scientists

My guess: guided missile or drone strikes. All the assassinations happened at a time of Israeli air strikes over Iran. Whatever weapon was used, was deployed from airplanes. Given the high profile of the targets, Israeli intelligence agencies did their job this time (in Gaza, they seem to be feeding their troops low quality AI slop).

Nearly 800 infant remains found in septic tank at nun-run Irish unwed mother and baby home ( www.foxla.com )

The home, which was run by an order of Catholic nuns and closed in 1961, was one of many such institutions that housed tens of thousands of orphans and unmarried pregnant women who were forced to give up their children throughout much of the 20th century. ...

perestroika ,

DNA -> find mother -> ask when birth or abortion occurred. Otherwise, examination and guesswork. If you look at a skull, you can approximately tell the age at death.

perestroika ,

Sadly, Iran has not been "tolerable to the media" in recent times.

(Example: a few months ago, their courts were discussing whether to sentence a rapper named Tataloo to death for "corruption on earth" - singing about the wrong things.)

Since they are now in war, media freedom in Iran is probably under the table.

perestroika ,

There's a book on the subject written by Srdja Popovic.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blueprint_for_Revolution

Summary: protests that start (and try to remain) non-violent have a greater chance to succeed, because they can attract more people to their cause.

Critique: with some regimes, it's not possible to non-violently protest. For non-violent protest to work, the environment must respect a minimum amount of human rights.

Case samples:

  • US during the civil rights movement era: yes
  • USSR under Gorbachev: yes
  • Serbia under Milosevic: yes, with difficulty on every step (Popovic was there doing it)
  • Israel under Netanyahu: probably yes
  • China under Xi: practically no (not for long)
  • USSR under Kruschev/Brezhnev/Andropov/Chernenko: not really
  • Russia under Putin: no, don't even hold a blank sheet of paper
  • Iran under Khamenei: only if you're doing a bread riot
  • Saudi Arabia, USSR under Stalin, NK under the Kim dynasty: no, and execution would be a possible outcome

...etc. In some places, you can't organize. Then your only option is to fight. As long as you can publicly organize, definitely do so - it's vastly preferable. :)

perestroika , (edited )

How many times can you list russia/ussr? Give me a break with this lib imperialism.

I may list it as many times as I need. I was born there and grew up there, and have a whole lot of information about how life was.

perestroika ,

Tankies are going to hate this comment.

They already are. :) I didn't quite expect this effect, but I welcome it. :)

perestroika ,

Thanks for correcting. You're right, I should have written something else than "probably yes" about Israel under Netanyahu. :(

perestroika OP ,

Opinion:

Politically, the ayatollah can't be toppled by foreseeable events, except if an Israeli strike should kill him. His successor in that case is unlikely to be milder. Netanyahu is also firmly in power due to special circumstances, and probably pretty safe from any Iranian attempts.

Militarily, Iran has taken bigger losses, and has probably lost expensive and important parts of its nuclear programme - but not its stocks of highly enriched uranium, or its ability to launch ballistic missiles. From that perspective, if the Israeli strikes were meant to disarm Iran - they didn't.

Prognosis: they will trade more strikes and neither will achieve breakthrough success. Iran will lose more in the process.

perestroika ,

Thanks for the info, a healthy amount of real life awaits then. :)

I knew it was running on solar energy and old hardware so I guessed something like this had happened.

If you need fail-over to awaken a backup system when the primary fails, things can be designed. :)

perestroika , (edited )

Tead sa öelda, mis on PieFed-i põhilised eripärad Lemmy kõrval?

Endal on mul algusest peale kaks Fediverse'i kontot. Teine identiteet on "[email protected]". Seal ma siis modereerin kogukondasid "offgrid", "science" ja "perestroika-pw". Esimesed 2 on madala liiklusega, kolmandas ei toimu mõhkugi. Muid kogukondi on serveris sadakond. Adminid on mõistlikud inimesed.

Server on pigem säästuässa haldusega, käib sagedamini maas kui muud. Hetkel on vist kah jälle maas, või olen ise hetkel võrgus, kust sinna välja ei ulatu. :)

Kui miskipärast vajalikuks osutub, võib-olla saaksin sinna kõrvale avada ka kanali "eesti", aga seda pärast teiste moderaatoritega nõu pidamist - et kas me tahame võtta pardale keskkonda, mille nimi kattub mingi kultuuriruumi / maa nimega ja milles hakatakse valdavalt rääkima keeles, mida serveri adminid ei mõista. (See tähendaks ju, et kui kunagi tekib läbula, siis adminitel on raske modereerida.)

Kuna siin ei olnud kogukonnal üldse mingit halduskoormust (polnud ühtegi moderaatorit ja läbu ei puhkenud), siis ma esialgu ei näe, et "eesti" kogukond Lemmy võrgus hetkel olulist halduskoormust põhjustaks.

Aga jah, hetkel kõhklen ja ei torma midagi tegema.

perestroika ,

Ma katsun nende kohta samuti õhtul lugeda.

perestroika ,
  • Not providing a platform for activities that harm society (e.g. scams, disinformation).
  • Not providing a platform for activities that will get you sued or prosecuted (e.g. piracy, child porn).
  • They had to pay a considerable amount for the service.

On social media, putting the burden of blocking on a million users is naive because:

  • Blocks can be worked around with bots, someone has to actively fight circumvention.
  • Some users don't have the time to block, simply conclude "this is a hostile environment" and leave.
  • Some users fall for scams / believe the disinfo.

I have once helped others build an anonymous mix network (I2P). I'm also an anarchist. On Lemmy however, support decentralization, defederating from instances that have bad policies or corrupt management, and harsh moderation. Because the operator of a Lemmy instance is fully exposed.

Experience has shown that total freedom is a suitable policy for apps that support 1-to-1 conversations via short text messages. Everything else invites too much abuse. If it's public, it will have rules. If it's totally private, it can have total freedom.

perestroika ,

it was also unclear he has in fact paid any taxes to the Russian government

Seems like a Captain Obvious moment. You work somewhere, your employer pays taxes to the government without even asking if you like it. I'm fully certain that even hardcore anarchist partisans who burn shit at night, pay taxes to the RF government on their day job - to look more like a normal citizen.

perestroika ,

Perhaps more importantly, Netanyahu also exchanged the director of Shin Bet, as if anticipating that some day, that guy might get a warrant to arrest a certain person accused of war crimes.

To make it short and get to the point, Israel is also risking their constitutional order by letting Netanyahu run wild. He might decide not to leave at some point.

perestroika ,

1.8.1 is sufficiently infectious and will attempt to self-install on you, functionality however is the same, it does the same stuff as Omicron did

perestroika ,

How to make Saudia Arabia a normal society?

  • deny it income
  • deny it access to advanced technology
  • deny it legitimacy and cooperation

Most importantly: stop using oil and natural gas sooner rather than later.

Reasoning: the king stays in power by paying cops, security officials and prison guards - and paying people to shut up and tolerate the regime. Once the system runs low on money, things may change.

Note: women in Europe made rapid progress at getting civil rights at a time when they were needed to run ammunition factories.

It doesn't have to be a world war - any development that makes it economically unavoidable that women start going to work outside their home, will change the role of women in society.

Revealed: Saudi Arabia’s secretive rehabilitation ‘prisons’ for disobedient women ( www.theguardian.com )

Speaking out in public or sharing footage of these “care homes”, or Dar al-Reaya, has become impossible in a country where voices on women’s rights appear to have been silenced. But over the past six months, the Guardian has gathered testimony about what it is like inside these institutions, described as “hellish”, ...

perestroika ,

Saudi Arabia needs to run out of money and get into an "all hands needed" situation to change (at which point they will surely discover that half of hands belong to women).

The king needs to lose his ability to bribe people to shut up.

Everyone can help this a little by transitioning off oil, gas and other petrochemical products, not letting this country acquire advanced technology, and generally not cooperating with them.

perestroika ,

In our modern times, Ea-Nasir still has some bars of aluminum to sell you. Quite several, in fact. :)

perestroika ,

A tip: you can build your own camera using a Raspberry Pi. There are kits. There are lenses and sensors which impress.

perestroika ,

Autofocusing external lenses is a real problem. Fuck the lens makers indeed, as a result of which I've only used Raspberry Pi based systems with manual focus.

Depth of field is a property of the lens, not the sensor.

Sensors: if you want to take pictures in starlight, you can get IMX585 (hard due to market problems). If you want lots of pixels, 64 M is not a problem. If you want to photograph a bullet, you can get the low-pixel global shutter sensor, there is code around to take video at 500 fps (disclaimer: tiny video, extreme light level required).

Cameras can be homebrewed, big integrators like Canon charge too much.

perestroika ,

What makes you think OP is willing to deal with these?

I'm not interested in whether the OP is even interested in open architecture or DIY. I'm pointing out that alternatives exist, and they are decent alternatives.

Yeah, that absolutely can replace the gear that captured the photo of the bullet whizzing by Trump and won the Pulitzer prize.

Capturing a photo of a bullet that's been slowing down for 300 meters is not a great technical feat. Try to buy a ballistics camera from Canon, see how much you end up paying (if they agree to sell).

P.S. To my recollection, one inch and 3/4 inch sensors are available for Pi. Note: this is experimental, but: https://github.com/will127534/OneInchEye

perestroika , (edited )

You just missed my point about the 1.6MP elephant in the room.

For your information, a global shutter sensor is not required in that scenario.

A global shutter is advisable if you want to get detailed video of a fast moving object that fills a large percentage of the frame, without distorting the shape of the moving object. With rolling shutter, you still see, but get a distorted (elongated, stepped) moving object.

  • Does a bullet missing Trump fill a large percentage of the frame? No.
  • Do you need to see details of the bullet? No.
  • Is Trump moving too fast to photograph without distortion? No.
  • Do you need to autofocus on the bullet? No, and you can't. It's fine, you already focused on Trump.

It follows that you don't need global shutter, and you don't care about autofocus. Merely using fast exposure and having a sensitive sensor + big lens (enabling you to use fast exposure) it will be sufficient.

You also need luck, of course. I think the photographer who snapped that shot had a considerable amount of luck. They weren't fumbling on their bag for a better X or Y. They were already taking a photo, most likely. Things just happened at the right time for them.

As for practicality of modular and DIY equipment, yes, it may not be everyone's preference.

perestroika , (edited )

They should. Some minimal physical protection may be needed to meet, consider, decide and publish a decision (nothing more) if things get really bad.

If they can modify the US Marshals service get independence from the DoJ, that seems reasonable.

perestroika , (edited )

how did you do it?

In the BIOS options of that specific server (nothing fancy, a generic Dell with some Xeon processor) the option to enable/disable ME was just plainly offered.

Chipset features > Intel AMT (active management technology) > disable (or something similar, my memory is a bit fuzzy). I researched the option, got worried about the outcomes if someone learned to exploit it, and made it a policy of turning it off. It was about 2 years ago.

P.S.

I'm sure there exist tools for the really security-conscious folks to verify whether ME has become disabled, but I was installing a boring warehouse system, so I didn't check.

perestroika , (edited )

But who would buy such hardware? :)

so good luck hiding a VPN client.

In my imagination, there is no VPN client. The whole network is behind a VPN router and the internet gateway is where it needs to be.