Gucci_Minh [he/him]

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Joined 5 years ago
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Cake day: December 23rd, 2020

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  • I don’t think that’s accurate, the PLAN had 8 Type 055s built in 4 years, and another 8 on the way in the same timespan. The USN in WW2 had over 100 cruisers built.

    If we’re talking about potential though, Chinese shipbuilding capacity dwarfs the US, and in a hypothetical war scenario (that somehow doesn’t turn nuclear) with full wartime production the gap widens more. However I expect that given their expense and the fact that they’ll be priority targets that the PLAN will likely use their submarines and Type 054A/B and Type 052Ds to do the heavy lifting, since a loss of a frigate or destroyer isn’t as crippling and they’re much faster and cheaper to build. It’ll be like that image where the US navy has a handful of decades old arleigh burkes and trump battleships vs the latest batch of PLAN destroyers, laid down 2 months ago, commissioned last week, with another 4 dozen on the way.








  • Depends more in this case on Iranian intelligence and their willingness to actually use them. Depending on the HQ-9 variant and the FCS/Radars paired with them, they can have the capability to detect and lock stealth aircraft, albeit at a shorter distance and therefore smaller response window than conventional. This means ideally your military intelligence needs to know their potential strike routes and can preposition your systems to intercept. Also, American EW planes have shown to work on older Soviet SAM systems, we’ll see how hardened the more modern Chinese systems are against it. Finally, its a numbers game, did Iran purchase sufficient numbers of systems to tolerate attrition and ensure redundancy if SEAD takes out a few? How much coverage can they provide for important sites and air corridors? And who’s to say if they won’t just strike a deal with the US like before where they do some face saving strikes back and forth with no real damage and leave the SAMs out of the equation.