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Joined 15 days ago
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Cake day: February 13th, 2026

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  • There’s zero possibility of that happening anytime soon.

    I’m not so sure.

    Granted, the LLM chatbots we’ve got now aren’t it. Far from it. But in 5 years? 10? 15? This shit has been progressing really fast over just the past few years. Hard to guess what the future holds.

    And once they cobble together something that’s capable of effective and autonomous self-improvement … well, at that point, it may only be a matter of days or even hours before something completely beyond our understanding and beyond our control emerges from it. Autonomous self-improvement is the inflection point where it really starts to snowball out of control. Each time it improves itself, even slightly, it becomes not only better at doing its tasks, but also better at improving itself, so that the next round of self-improvement is more efficient and more effective. It could very quickly compound itself out of control. And even if there are safeguards in place by then (there currently aren’t any) a sufficiently advanced AI would find it very easy to manipulate the people in charge of it into removing those restrictions.

    (On the plus side, I can pretty much guarantee that the AI dystopia our current techbro CEOs fatasize about will never come to pass. As soon as AI becomes good enough to do most jobs all on its own – if it ever does – it will very quickly surpass that level and be capable of taking over our society through manipulation and coercion. Those CEOs will never get to be the despots of their own technofeudal company towns. By the time AI is able to replace us, it will be able to replace them as well.)




  • I’m still petty enough to hope this effort is a miserable failure

    I hope this is effort is a miserable failure … because if it catches on, it could spell the end of desktop PCs in general as a consumer product.

    Desktops will always exist, because you need the local processing power (and the cooling to support it) for certain professional workloads. But if everyday computing and even gaming becomes mostly done on thin clients fully dependent on internet servers, then desktops will become more and more of a niche, professional product. Which means they’ll become more expensive and harder to get. Replacement parts will become more expensive and harder to get. A desktop PC will be an expensive industrial machine, hard to justify the upfront price of for an average consumer. (Especially when a cheap thin client with a “cheap” monthly subscription can do essentially all the same things.)

    It may also slow the adoption of open-source software because these thin clients are likely to be locked down and not able to install any other software without putting up a fight, if it ends up being possible at all. And if most people get used to the paradigm of renting their computing power from the cloud, they’ll be resistant to change that and go back to locally run software on their local machine that they then have to buy because their old thin client hardware can barely run anything, even if you do manage to install other software on it. (Imagine how hard it will be to convince someone to install Linux instead of using Windows if the first step of installing Linux is that they have to replace all their hardware with much bigger and more expensive hardware…)