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Revisiting the Conditional Construal of Conditional Probability
Logic and Logical Philosophy 32 (2):261-268 (2023)
Abstract
We show how to extend any finite probability space into another finite one which satisfies the conditional construal of conditional probability for the original propositions, given some maximal allowed degree of nesting of the conditional. This mitigates the force of the well-known triviality results.Author Profiles
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Citations of this work
A Minimal Probability Space for Conditionals.Anna Wójtowicz & Krzysztof Wójtowicz - 2023 - Journal of Philosophical Logic 52 (5):1385-1415.
Probabilities of Conditionals via Labeled Markov Graphs.Krzysztof Wójtowicz & Anna Wójtowicz - forthcoming - Erkenntnis:1-43.
An inductive construction of a model for probabilities of complex conditionals.Krzysztof Wójtowicz & Anna Wójtowicz - 2025 - Synthese 205 (6):1-52.
The Subjective Probability of Conditionals and Its Formalizations.Anna Wójtowicz & Krzysztof Wójtowicz - 2023 - Studia Semiotyczne 37 (1):45-74.
A Misleading Triviality Argument in the Theory of Conditionals.Anna Wójtowicz & Krzysztof Wójtowicz - 2024 - Logic and Logical Philosophy 33 (3):349-380.
References found in this work
Probabilities of conditionals and conditional probabilities.David Lewis - 1976 - Philosophical Review 85 (3):297-315.
Evidence: A Guide for the Uncertain.Kevin Dorst - 2019 - Philosophy and Phenomenological Research 100 (3):586-632.
Erratum: Probabilities of Conditionals and Conditional Probabilities.David Lewis - 1976 - Philosophical Review 85 (4):561.
Probabilities of Conditionals.Bas van Fraassen - 1975 - In C. Hooker, Foundations of probability theory, statistical inference, and statistical theories of science. Springer.
The hypothesis of the conditional construal of conditional probability.Alan Hájek & N. Hall - 1994 - In Ellery Eells & Brian Skyrms, Probability and Conditionals: Belief Revision and Rational Decision. New York: Cambridge University Press. pp. 75.
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