Probabilistic Induction and Hume’s Problem: Reply to Lange

Philosophical Quarterly 53 (212):419–424 (2003)
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Abstract

Marc Lange has criticized my assertion that relative to a Bayesian conception of inductive reasoning, Hume's argument for inductive scepticism cannot be run. I reply that the way in which Lange suggests one should run the Humean argument in a Bayesian framework ignores the fact that in Bayesian models of learning from experience, the domain of an agent's probability measure is exogenously determined. I also show that Lange is incorrect to equate probability distributions which 'support inductive inferences' with probability distributions which assign probability to contingent propositions/events

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Samir Okasha
University of Bristol

References found in this work

The Foundations of Mathematics and Other Logical Essays.Frank Plumpton Ramsey - 1925 - London, England: Routledge & Kegan Paul. Edited by R. B. Braithwaite.
Truth and probability.Frank Ramsey - 2011 - In Antony Eagle, Philosophy of Probability: Contemporary Readings. New York: Routledge. pp. 52-94.
What did Hume really show about induction?Samir Okasha - 2001 - Philosophical Quarterly 51 (204):307-327.
Okasha on inductive scepticism.Marc Lange - 2002 - Philosophical Quarterly 52 (207):226-232.

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