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Surrey-White Rock

Latest update: February 5, 2026
C
MLA: Trevor Halford
Conservative Party of BC
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Recent electoral history | Surrey-White Rock


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 48% ± 9% 0.0% 0.0% 52.3% NDP 45% ± 9% 30.6% 38.7% 45.3% ONE 4% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 1% ± 1% 16.2% 14.2% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 49.9% 39.5% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey-White Rock projection

Latest update: February 5, 2026

Surrey-White Rock 40% 57% 48% ± 9% ▼ CPBC 36% 53% 45% ± 9% NDP 0% 8% 4% ± 4% ▲ ONE CPBC 2024 52.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 5, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey-White Rock 69%▼ CPBC 31%▲ NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | February 5, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Surrey-White Rock

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 48% ± 9% NDP 45% ± 9% BCG 1% ± 1% ONE 4% ± 4% CEN 2% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Surrey-White Rock 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 5, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 32% CPBC 26% BCU 26% BCG 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 32% NDP 31% BCU 23% BCG 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 39% NDP 31% BCU 17% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 36% NDP 32% BCU 18% BCG 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 37% NDP 33% BCU 16% BCG 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 39% NDP 32% BCU 15% BCG 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 40% NDP 32% BCU 14% BCG 11% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 41% NDP 32% BCU 14% BCG 10% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 49% NDP 37% BCG 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 52% NDP 37% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 58% NDP 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 58% NDP 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 58% NDP 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 58% NDP 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 58% NDP 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 58% NDP 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 52% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 52% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 52% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 52% NDP 45% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 53% NDP 45% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 50% NDP 45% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 50% NDP 45% ONE 2% BCG 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 48% NDP 45% ONE 4% CEN 2% BCG 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05

Odds of winning | Surrey-White Rock

BCU <1% CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 5, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 93% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 94% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 94% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 77% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 57% NDP 42% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 75% NDP 25% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 89% NDP 11% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 81% NDP 19% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 85% NDP 15% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2024-09-26