The European Union’s next seven-year budget could put spending on conflict prevention and aid to fragile states at risk. In this Q&A, Crisis Group experts Lisa Musiol and Dylan Macchiarini Crosson explain the potential consequences.
Five years after mounting a coup that ousted an elected civilian government, Min Aung Hlaing has overseen tightly staged elections transitioning him from commander-in-chief to president. Foreign governments should ensure interaction with Naypyitaw is calibrated, so as not to confer unwarranted legitimacy on the administration.
In this weekly update, Crisis Group experts take stock of developments in the Middle East war and the progress of efforts to end it.
Crisis Group experts examine how the two West African neighbours plan to reopen their border and improve cooperation
CrisisWatch is our global conflict tracker, an early warning tool designed to help prevent deadly violence. It keeps decision-makers up-to-date with developments in over 70 conflicts and crises every month, identifying trends and alerting them to risks of escalation and opportunities to advance peace. In addition, CrisisWatch monitors over 50 situations (“standby monitoring”) to offer timely information if developments indicate a drift toward violence or instability. Entries dating back to 2003 provide easily searchable conflict histories. Building on our global conflict tracker, On the Horizon sounds the alarm about conflicts and crises that may emerge or escalate over the next three to six months in support of global conflict prevention efforts.
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If the war does not stop and the partition of Sudan solidifies, it will represent a turning point for the region and the African continent.
Prime Minister Abiy will be confident that he will be re-elected. This shouldn't obscure the fact that there are various internal insecurity issues [in Ethiopia].
Israel and Hezbollah have entered a very dangerous escalatory cycle. If the situation continues along this path, it could have disastrous consequences for Lebanon.
If the talks [between the U.S. and Iran] break down, a return to hostilities will be inevitable – its costs and risks notwithstanding.
Progress on violence is far from being achieved [in Ecuador]. It is evident that the situation in Ecuador has reached unprecedented levels.
Xi wants to create a lasting and strong impression in Trump’s mind that China will be willing to go to any length that’s necessary to safeguard its interests over Taiwan.
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